Travel Risk Intelligence - Alerting Definitions and Criteria
This is a reference to the criteria that The Anvil Group uses when assigning Country Threat Levels and Incident Risk Levels. Our aim is to provide our clients with a realistic understanding of the risks to travel, so they may make informed travel decisions in light of the potential risks and threats.
Country Risk Levels
The geographical country numeric indicator relates to Anvil’s assigned risk level to that specific country. The country brief details the relative level of risk to the health, safety and wellbeing of travellers. Whilst Anvil's team of Analysis regularly assess, increase and decrease these indicators in response to incidents and events, so we may accurately convey the risk at the destination. Ultimately decisions regarding whether, where and when to travel can only be made by our clients themselves. Anvil’s threat levels are displayed for informative purposes only.
| 5. | Do not travel; unless measures have been put into place to ensure the safety and security of the traveller. |
| 4. | Reconsider the need to travel; assess, evaluate and take appropriate action to ensure the safety and security to the traveller. |
| 3. | Exercise a high degree of caution; ensure the traveller has been briefed in regard to the destination and their personal safety and security. |
| 2. | Travellers should be made aware of the current situation and exercise a degree of caution and self awareness. |
| 1. | Travellers should be aware and briefed on their own personal security. |
Incident Threat Levels
| 5. | Critical - Incidents that pose significant risk to the life, health, security and safety of travellers. |
| 4. | Severe – Incidents that pose significant danger or disruption. |
| 3. | Substantial – Incidents that pose localised danger. |
| 2. | Moderate - Incidents that may cause disruption such as public demonstrations, airport, airline delays and localised traffic delays. |
| 1. | Low - Informational based notification such as a political event, public holiday or public event. |
How levels are decided:
The threat levels are set based on information drawn from numerous sources and include:
- Assessments from severe weather and geological centres world wide.
- Warnings from overseas Embassy’s and Consuls regarding security conditions in which they are operational.
- Incidents and developments reported in the international, national and local media, news wires and retained in-country sources.
- Information and reports from the World Health Organization (WHO).
- Advisories prepared by in-country national consular departments.
- In-country polic, law enforcement, military, security and intelligence services.
The level Anvil assigns to a specific countries reflects our analysis overall assessment of the security situations, threats and risks and is designed to help our clients to assess the level of risk their travellers.
In assessing the threat and risk levels of a destination we consider overall security risks and compare these to the general security threats in a large western city. Anvil then considers the potential impact to the health, safety and wellbeing of the client’s individual travellers. Anvil also considers the stability and ability of a foreign government to deal with the potential impact, prior, during and post incident and considers neighbouring and international politics and governments.
Physical Support:
Anvil has for the past 20 years being a leading internationally recognised and accredited supplier of physical security and corporate intelligence services. Our assignments and operational deployments have been praised by our clients and governments alike. We pride ourselves on delivering realistic and cost effective solutions in a timely and effective manner in some of the worlds most hostile and demanding environments.
Operational Theatres:
Afghanistan, Algeria, Andorra, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Austria, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Belgium, Benin, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Brazil, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Congo, Costa Rica, Cote D’Ivoire, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Djibouti, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Fiji, France, Gabon, Gambia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Indian Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Jamaica, Japan, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Luxembourg, Malaysia, Maldives, Malta, Mexico, Monaco, Morocco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Niger, Northern Ireland, Oman, Pakistan, Portugal, Poland, Qatar, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Syria, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States of America.